Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Subclass_Puzzles Because when those in control

Because when those in control of the truth decide to twist it

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and illustrating his points with examples from successful baseball players to talented portrait artists

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Sephy is a Cross - a member of the dark-skinned ruling class

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Subclass_Puzzles Because when those in controlEverything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson